As I was doing research for another entry, I ran across an
interesting Quote of the Day on the
Forbes website. “People that work hard
and legitimately do everything they can, tend to be luckier” – Julian
Edelman. For those who are not sports
fans or happened to miss it, Julian Edelman is the receiver on the New England
Patriots who made the spectacular, shoestring catch near the end of regulation
time that allowed the Patriots to win the Super Bowl. It looked like luck was involved as he
sprawled between two defenders to keep a deflected ball from barely touching the
ground, but a great deal of skill and excellent reflexes were evident in the
many replays. (Google Super Bowl highlights.)
It struck me as a very good thought, along the lines of
people making their own luck, the saying popular among motivational
speakers. But do most people really
believe this? And if so, does our
behavior reflect it?
My first stop took me to this headline from 2006, again from
Forbes: “Research now shows that the
lack of natural talent is irrelevant to great success. The secret? Painful and
demanding practice and hard work.” Worldwide
research, including many studies over the prior decade usually in sports, music
and chess where performance is easier to observe and assess, but also in other
areas like business, have supported a few surprising conclusions. The first is that “nobody is great without
work… There's no evidence of high-level
performance without experience or practice.” Second, there is a difference between
deliberate practice and mere repetition.
“Consistency is crucial.”
Though there are some skeptics, experts pretty much
agree that success depends on hard work.
But do ordinary Americans believe hard work is superior to luck in most
cases? I searched for likely poll
questions for a clue.
This source shows results from a Pew Research worldwide
questionnaire. In less developed
countries citizens believed luck or political connections were more of a
factor, but the US led the pack with the opposite stance. When asked, “Which forces affect your
success?” 79% listed hard work and only 19% mentioned being lucky. (More than two answers were possible with the
sum being more than 100%, so some may have answered both. It wasn’t a pure either/or question.)
A Reason-Rupe Poll from the fall of 2011 asks a similar
question but sorts the responses by political affiliation. They asked which was more important, either hard
work or luck and help from others.
Overall, 81% voted for hard work over the luck and help, which got 15%. The range was surprisingly close. Tea Partiers
were at 89%, Democrats at 74%, with Republicans and Independents in the middle. In a separate analysis by race, findings were
similar with the lowest agreement by African-Americans, who still favored hard
work by about three out of four, a sizable majority.
More recently, a 2013 Rasmussen Reports of American
attitudes found “86% Believe Individuals Make Their Own Success” by hard work
and good decisions.
It appears that the sentiment expressed after the Super Bowl
is widespread in America and not divided across political, racial or any other
lines. Most Americans think you get
ahead through hard work. It is difficult
then to explain how politicians can get any support for notions like the
one-percent haven’t worked hard for their wealth and don’t deserve it. Conversely, why are we expected to assume
that everyone who is not making it in America is a victim? The behavior factor in most cases is totally ignored. The news media always portray the homeless and
others in difficult situations as being “down on their luck,” downplaying at
best any poor decisions that may have led to their predicament. Hence young people today who could benefit by
learning from the mistakes of others see only victims of circumstance rather
than behavior to avoid. Great learning
is lost by our need to be compassionate in all cases and a failure to be intellectually
consistent.
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